Germany remains the most important rapeseed producer in the EU
However, the outlook for France and Poland is quite different.
Since the beginning of March, the weather in Germany has been dominated by large temperature fluctuations.
Following a warm weather period at the end of March, the coldest April across Germany in 40 years has slowed plant growth. Nevertheless, winter-planted crops are generally in a good condition.
The EU Commission expects the German rapeseed harvest to reach 3.8 million tonnes. This would translate to a 7.5% rise year-on-year.
By contrast, in France the prolonged period of frost severely affected some of the rapeseed crops that were in flower at the time.
Also, drought has prevented a rapid recovery of the crops. According to investigations conducted by Agrarmarkt Informations-Gesellschaft, the EU Commission lowered the harvest outlook for France by 6% from the previous month to 3.1 million tonnes.
This would translate to a 3.2% decline on the year. Poland could also see a drop in harvest in 2021. Estimated at 2.7 million tonnes, the country's harvest would fall 8 per cent short of the previous year's figure.
The increases expected to occur in Germany, Romania and Hungary will not be able to offset the decreases in other countries. As a result, this year's EU-27 rapeseed harvest of presumably 16.5 million tonnes is set to exceed the previous year's level by only 1% while remaining below average overall.